Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.096898 0.104675 0.112950 0.122439 0.133055 0.144605 0.158176
2024-10-27 0.082725 0.093203 0.105025 0.119456 0.136747 0.156987 0.182757
2024-11-03 0.077654 0.090315 0.105253 0.124414 0.148691 0.178921 0.220220
2024-11-10 0.074613 0.089063 0.106755 0.130422 0.161904 0.203336 0.263773
2024-11-17 0.069927 0.085135 0.104292 0.130773 0.167396 0.217835 0.295605
2024-11-24 0.065165 0.080605 0.100507 0.128769 0.169150 0.226965 0.320552
2024-12-01 0.060853 0.076282 0.096562 0.126036 0.169361 0.233565 0.342192
2024-12-08 0.056680 0.071837 0.092083 0.122082 0.167253 0.236209 0.357503
2024-12-15 0.054092 0.069351 0.090085 0.121449 0.169916 0.246349 0.386781
2024-12-22 0.051404 0.066554 0.087441 0.119603 0.170443 0.252961 0.410658
2024-12-29 0.049854 0.065245 0.086807 0.120671 0.175585 0.267699 0.452017
2025-01-05 0.047276 0.062333 0.083663 0.117633 0.173723 0.270063 0.469448
2025-01-12 0.044545 0.059200 0.080209 0.114172 0.171365 0.272190 0.488893
2025-01-19 0.042129 0.056429 0.077173 0.111213 0.169683 0.275544 0.512203
2025-01-26 0.041780 0.056666 0.078672 0.115667 0.181316 0.305569 0.602722
2025-02-02 0.041662 0.057223 0.080674 0.121094 0.195301 0.342584 0.722130
2025-02-09 0.040397 0.055963 0.079732 0.121410 0.199769 0.360656 0.798716
2025-02-16 0.038774 0.054071 0.077667 0.119600 0.199929 0.369389 0.852071
2025-02-23 0.037132 0.052074 0.075326 0.117129 0.198530 0.374408 0.896173
2025-03-02 0.035376 0.049830 0.072473 0.113551 0.194570 0.372973 0.919874
2025-03-09 0.034322 0.048650 0.071316 0.112977 0.196702 0.386303 0.997041
2025-03-16 0.033125 0.047193 0.069627 0.111304 0.196370 0.393579 1.056312
2025-03-23 0.032485 0.046604 0.069364 0.112272 0.201748 0.416113 1.181760